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FRACTIONALCLEANACTIVE POP
Nine Million Bicycles
Katie Melua · Pop
7,947 views · 186 watching · Listed -6d ago
Now playing
Nine Million Bicycles · Katie Melua
0:22
3:42
Price per token$0.35
Tokens available500 / 1,000
Quantity
Total$3.50
Next royalty
Mar 2026
Est. annual yield
6.7%
✦FMV
$640.4K
5YR Base ROI
14.3%
Risk Score
39/100
Annual Royalty
$42.7K
About this catalog
International pop hit by Katie Melua, released 2005. Active-catalog phase with four years of recent streaming history; revenue trending downward as the song ages out of editorial rotation. Strong mid-decay; sync-licensing potential.
Returns Calculator
Project your income
Investment$10,000
$1K$500K
Annual
5YR
10YR
Conservative
$573
$1.2K
$1.4K
Base
$667
$1.4K
$1.6K
Aggressive
$775
$1.7K
$1.9K
Projections derived from the engine’s P10 / P50 / P90 forecast. 10-year extension assumes exponential decay based on the fitted exponential model.
Stave grade breakdown
How this catalog scored
Five-layer pipeline: data normalization, decay modeling, anomaly detection, concentration risk, grade aggregation. Source: engine/FORMULAS.md.
Factor Breakdown
Score 61.1 / 100
Forecast stability · weight 30%
85
Concentration (HHI) · weight 20%
66
Decay regime · weight 20%
60
Historical volatility · weight 15%
35
Artist & catalog age · weight 15%
35
Grade Summary
Composite score
61.1 / 100
Confidence
50%
Decay model
exponential
Max LTV
50%
Anomalies
1
Next review
2027-04-22
Concentration (HHI)
Platform
0.380
moderateTerritory
0.282
moderateMonte Carlo (60-mo)
VaR₉₅
$55,250
CVaR₉₅
$49,344
60-month revenue forecast
Monthly USD - P10 / P50 / P90 from the fitted exponential model.